Welcome to Stems, a weekly newsletter on music, media, and tech written by Nathan Brackett, former editor at Rolling Stone and content exec at Amazon Music. Subscribe here for free to get every new issue in your inbox every Friday.

1. ANALYSIS

Garth Brooks’ Streaming Experiment May Have Run its Course

Are the blank stares outside Garth’s Friends in Low Places saloon a bad sign?

If you are actively searching for signs that Daniel Ek’s streaming edifice is showing cracks, you can find a few: there was Sturgill Simpson's recent number three Billboard 100 album debut with a physical-only release; the small but passionate cohort of indie artists who pulled their music off Spotify; and a few other notable slings and arrows from various quarters last year.

We don’t see it. Even beyond the strong financials they showed off last quarter, the network effects and economic realities that are keeping artists on the world’s biggest music streamer are stronger than ever. If you are a major artist, taking your music off Spotify is … not really a thing anymore. Neil Young returned to the streamer in 2024, and Jay-Z and Beyonce’s Tidal campaign is a fading memory. (Nils Lofgren is back too.)

Spotify’s stickiness is less about streaming payouts — which are often less than half (and sometimes much less than half) of what successful artists make in a year — than it is about the exposure and downstream career effects the platform delivers. Lots of artists may complain about streaming royalties, but the attention from those streams drives all the other ways they make money: music syncs, merch, touring  and (if they’re lucky) that late-career pot of gold, selling their catalog. In today’s attention economy, removing yourself from the place where hundreds of millions of music fans listen can be tantamount to removing yourself from music itself. 

The only major artist not on Spotify in 2026 is Garth Brooks, who signed an exclusive deal with my old workplace, Amazon Music, right before I started there in 2016. For years it seemed like a Jedi-master-level ‘zag’ for Brooks: he made a lot of money and had an inside line to Amazon’s physical music sales store — the biggest in the world — at a time when a huge number of country fans were still buying CD’s. As the distant-third streamer in 2016, Amazon was fired up to pull every possible marketing, sales and promotion lever for Garth. The deal helped solidify Amazon Music’s strength in country music, which expanded the overall streaming market. (Shout out to my former colleague Jeff Reguilon, who was credited around the office for coming up with the original idea.)

Of course, we are in a different landscape now. This story from a country music blog caught my eye:

A few months ago, we were out talking to people on Broadway in downtown Nashville and I was SHOCKED at how many young people couldn’t name a single Garth Brooks song … there are people out there who couldn’t even name his biggest hit ([“Friends in Low Places,”] which is also the name of his Broadway bar, which was just steps away from us).

The brute force economics of streaming appear to be taking their toll. Gen Z is driving country music’s growth these days, and those fans are on Spotify in enormous numbers; there is a cost to not being where they are. It’s hard to measure the missed opportunity, but Garth’s generational peers are racking up serious numbers on Spotify: Clint Black, who was born the same year as Garth, has close to half a billion streams; Reba McEntire has 1.1 billion; George Strait has 4.75 billion. Garth is still, at last count, the top selling artist in the U.S. according to the RIAA, but it’s a number he partially keeps healthy by taking advantage of how Billboard measures sales, selling box sets (which count for multiple physical sales) at dramatic discounts.

The point here isn’t to single out Garth, but to illustrate how Spotify was able to raise its prices twice in the past 18 months without any apparent deleterious effects. The forerunner of Garth’s Amazon deal was his Walmart exclusive back in the early 2000’s, a first of its kind arrangement that also brought him a windfall. But in 2026, Spotify is less like a record store chain, and, metaphorically, closer to an entire listening format.

I’d love to hear your thoughts on this; email me at [email protected]

2. CULTURE WATCH

Data Proves that Coachella and Stagecoach Fans Are Indeed Quite Different from Each Other

A helpful data-insights guy at Instacart shared a wealth of information on the shopping habits of Coachella and Stagecoach fans last year, and the results are entertaining and pretty aggressively on-brand for both fests. There are some eye-opening stats if you compare festival-goer shopping habits with those of the average American: Coachella fans ordered 244% more chardonnay and 304% more electrolytes than the average U.S. shopper, while Stagecoach fans ordered a jawdropping 24,670% more bandanas (as a fashion statement, yes, but and also because there was a dust storm at last year’s fest).

The most fun is in the contrast between country fans and their pop/dance counterparts (see charts below). Coachella fans tend to be charmingly unprepared compared to Stagecoach fans; they need last-minute sunscreen and charging cables one-third more often. (They also buy pool floats 24% more often; who knew you could get a pool float on Instacart?) Stagecoach fans tend to be older, and bigger drinkers: they buy 1393% more camping chairs and many more vodka cocktails and light beers to enjoy in them. And foot insoles to put inside those cowboy boots, and bandanas. Enjoy Cody Johnson, you guys!

Methodology: Instacart calculated the % difference in category order share between Coachella and Stagecoach weekends in the Coachella Valley. Items listed under each festival were ordered at a higher rate during that festival compared to the other. *Camping Chairs (+1,393%) far exceeds the chart scale; bar is truncated with a break indicator. Source: Instacart internal data.

3. CROSSWORD

The Finest Music-Themed Mini Crossword Goes to Music City

Except it’s not okay to not finish the Music Mini

Rounding out this week’s country-style Stems is a mildly Nashville-themed puzzle. Let the thunder roll!

To learn more about Stems, visit the About page. To learn more about my consulting practice, visit here.

Email: [email protected]
LinkedIn: /in/nbrackett

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